Investment Management for the Sixth Kondratiev Wave
Guo Capital exists to identify and capitalize on major technological and economic inflection points. We believe the 2020s represent the beginning of the sixth Kondratiev Wave—a 50-60 year supercycle defined by artificial intelligence, clean energy abundance, and decentralized financial infrastructure.
We maintain 5-10 positions maximum. Diversification dilutes returns. We size positions for asymmetric upside (5-10x+) over 3-7 year horizons.
Every investment thesis is built from fundamental physics, economics, and technology roadmaps. We ignore consensus and herd behavior.
Kondratiev Waves provide macro context. We position early in technological adoption curves and hold through volatility.
If the underlying thesis breaks, we exit immediately. No emotional attachment to positions. Discipline over hope.
The world operates in predictable long-term cycles. The sixth wave (2030-2080) will be characterized by three convergent forces: AI reaching AGI-level capabilities, global energy transition to clean baseload power, and financial infrastructure migrating to blockchain rails. These are not speculative bets—they are inevitable infrastructure transitions. Our portfolio is positioned at the nexus of these three forces.